Monday Night Football in Seattle!
Are you all ready for some football? Monday night football in the Great Pacific Northwest?! I am! Next question, if you are heading to the game, are you layering up? You might want to consider it as temperatures will be around 30 degrees at some point during the game. Vague? Kinda. The problem is, the arctic cold air is taking its sweet time filtering into our area, and with that, temps are staying at their high of 43 degrees; most likely stay there for the start of the game. However, (comma dramatic pause) the wind direction just north of the border, where the Fraser Valley Outflow is located, are now coming from the NNE; a strong indication that that arctic air mass is now starting to filter into the area. How fast or slow is the million dollar question. I am holding onto the thought that temps will drop fairly dramatically as that arctic air filters into the Seattle area, thus the 30 degree prediction.
What about snow? Doubtful! However, (comma dramatic pause) there certainly are scattered showers around the Puget Sound area… and it is not out of the realm of possibilities to have one of these scattered showers travel over Seattle and Clink. If that happens, we COULD see 0.5 to 2 inches depending on how heavy the showers are.
This is a fairly vague forecast, and for that I do apologize, but there is a lot of uncertainty with the forecast, even from now (3pm) to end of the game. A lot of ‘nowcasting’ will be in order so please check back.
Meanwhile, GO HAWKS!
Greatest Seahawks team
By Carl Hoglin
The 2013 Seahawks team has managed a franchise best record at 9-1, but are they the best Seahawks team?
The Seahawks have been to one Super Bowl, and they are the only team in the NFL to attend both the AFC and NFC Championship games.
Lately the question has been that, “Are we witnessing the greatest Seahawks team?”
Statistically we can compare two different teams and make our own judgement. But let’s throw a little wrench into this, and compare three different teams.
As mentioned before, the Seahawks are the only team to have attended both AFC and NFC championship games. The 2005 Seahawks as we all know went to the Super Bowl. The 1983 Seahawks team managed to get to the AFC Championship game. Therefore both of these teams are viable in contrast as the Greatest Seahawks team. Comparing these three teams should be a lot of fun! All of these stats will be compared through the first ten games of the season regardless of the bye week. The 1983 team didn’t have a bye week, and the 2005 Seahawks had their bye week in week 8. The current team the bye week is week 12.
2013 2005 1983
Total Record 9-1 8-2 6-4
(Home Wins) 4-0 5-0 3-2
(Away Wins) 5-1 3-2 3-2
Points For 265 272 246
Points Against 159 187 225
Total Offense 3,620 3,892 3,071
Total Defense 2,890 3,158 3,744
Total Sacks 30 34 27
Interceptions 13 9 20
Surprised at how close they are? It’s actually very interesting data.
There really isn’t a clear cut greatest team off these statistics. Three different teams, three different coaches, not a single player that played on two of these teams. We can delve deeper into the depths of these statistics and get a little bit more personal. If all of these stats are fairly close, we can break down a few key positions to see if there is any big difference.
- Russell Wilson 163/257(63%) 2,132 yards 17 TD 6 INT
- Matt Hasselbeck 200/316(63%) 2,357 yards 12 TD 7 INT
- Jim Zorn* 103/205(50%) 1,166 yards 7 TD 7 INT
*These comparisons were through the first ten games of the season. However Jim Zorn only started 8 games in the 1983 season.
- Marshawn Lynch 191 carries 871 yards 7 TD
- Shaun Alexander 232 carries 1229 yards 19 TD
- Curt Warner 198 carries 889 yards 8 TD
- Golden Tate 41 catches 574 yards 4 TD
- Joe Jurevicius** 36 catches 421 yards 5 TD
- Steve Largent 38 catches 547 yards 6 TD
** Jurevicius was chosen because Darrell Jackson only played 6 games that year and didn’t meet the minimum requirement of 10 games.
While the argument can be made that the current team we are watching is the greatest Seahawks team ever,
the stats are really similar to the other two great Seahawks teams. Each team has its strengths and weaknesses. Chuck Knox, Mike Holmgren, and Pete Carroll all have run unique football teams that had great players in key positions.
Maybe it is too early to compare these three great teams to decide which one is the greatest.
At the end of the season we can again look at these stats and re-visit the argument as to which Seahawks team should be crowned the greatest Seahawks team?
It is starting to look like…
A typical Western Washington fall!
Today we will see showers off and on with a game time high near 50 degrees; it is already 47°. At time of post, a weak system ushered in moisture from the south southwest direction. This left the southern part of Seattle on the border between rain and the rain shadow. Those coming from Everett will see dry conditions.
As mentioned, the disturbance is moving over Western Washington now and will leave pockets of rain showers for the game. It is windy; we saw a guest of 22mph in Seattle but I don’t think it will effect the game much given the SSW direction and the fact the wind should die down after the front passes by. Emphasis placed on should as model runs indicate that to be true.
For this curious and have not heard yet, a major “Pineapple Express” style storm is heading our way for Monday through Tuesday. It appears to be a 24 hour event of nothing but rain. We are looking at 0.5 inches of rain being the minimum and possible 1.50 inches of rain being the maximum. Good news is, we look fairly dry ice that storm passes by possible through the weekend!
My fearless predictions:
Seahawks 31 Vikings 10
Rain Rain Go Away
So… the Seahawks DO play in Seattle after all! It seems like so long ago when the Seahawks played at home… likewise It has been awhile since the Seahawks had to play in adverse rainy weather. Back in September 13th the Seahawks played at home against the 49ers during a stormy, lightning and thunder, night. A week later, they played Jacksonville that saw 20mph sustained winds but the rain quickly gave way to sunshine. October 13th, the Seahawks played at home against the Titans in nearly perfect football weather. Tomorrow, the ‘bucs come to town and will see nothing like the two stormy games, but will not see perfect weather either.
The weather models differ a bit when it comes to pinpointing the rain so I will leave a chance of rain for the game, although, I think it will be dry; the greatest chance of rain will be in the morning and pre-game. The winds will be light and a non-factor. Cloud cover will diminish as the night goes on… in fact; I believe we will see the sun tomorrow for the most part… so call it partly sunny. Temps will be on the chilly side; looking at a game time temp of about 45 degrees.
All in all the field should be drained and the ball should stay dry! Go Hawks #LOB (Lets be great).
Near perfect football weather!
Marine layer clouds SHOULD burn off by the time the game starts; I would be highly surprised if they did not. With that said, it should be a non-factor as the sun will be already past its peak and heading off towards the west. Temps will hold steady at about 53 degrees… but keep in mind, any sun break and the temps will jump about 10 degrees — look for a high of 61 degrees.
Looking ahead, we are heading into an extended dry period that will last through early next week; rarity for a Seattle October.
Enjoy the game! Seahawks 28 Titans 12
#lbg (lets be great)
And keys to the game
By Carl Hoglin
The Seattle Seahawks travel east to face the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday in a matchup between two sophomore Quarterbacks. Russell Wilson and Andrew Luck have both made huge strides for their respectable teams and will continue to do so after Sundays game.
This will be the first matchup between the two since they came into the league last year in different rounds. Andrew Luck was taken #1 overall by the Colts last year, where Russell Wilson was taken #75 overall.
Nevertheless, a football game isn’t decided by what rounds their Quarterbacks are taken.
Both teams have had a great September start, with the Seahawks going 4-0, and the Colts sitting at 3-1. These two teams have played against each other 10 times before, with Sundays matchup being number 11. Seattle has won the matchup between these two teams only 4 times.
The last time these two teams met was in 2009, well before both Quarterbacks were drafted. Since 2009, both of these teams have vastly changed. Seneca Wallace and Peyton Manning are no longer running the shows.
Both Offenses are strikingly similar in stats. Russell Wilson is 59/96(61.5%) for 787 yards with 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Andrew Luck is 81/127(63.8%) for 915 yards with 5 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Wilson has been sacked 13 times for a loss of 84 yards. Luck has been sacked 10 times for a loss of 59 yards.
The Seahawks have managed to total up 1409 offensive yards(577 rushing, 832 passing). The Colts have put up 1495 total yards(601 rushing, 894 passing). Both teams have put up 12 touchdowns. Seattle is managing 27.2 points a game, good enough for 6th in the league. Indianapolis is pushing 26.2 which puts them at 9th in the league.
Defense has been a focal point for both of these teams. Seattle is only allowing 11.8 points per game(2nd), while Indianapolis is allowing 12.8(9th). Seattle boasts the Legion of Boom, which has accounted for 6 of the teams 7 interceptions. Indianapolis has managed to intercept opposing Quarterbacks 6 different times themselves. Indianapolis has registered 13 different sacks, Seattle has only put up 11. Indianapolis has forced three different fumbles, whereas Seattle has managed to force 6.
These two teams have played two of the same teams. We can use them as a slight comparison.
Both teams have played San Francisco and Jacksonville.
The Seahawks trounced the 49ers(in Seattle) 29-3, while the Colts went to Candlestick and dismantled the 49ers 27-7. The Seahawks also bludgeoned the Jaguars(in Seattle) 45-17, whereas the Colts went into EverBank Field and took care of the Jaguars 37-3. In the two weeks the Seahawks outscored the two 74-20, while the Colts outscored the two by 64-10.
Going into Lucas Oil Stadium with a unbeaten record, Seattle has to be on their game. Indianapolis’ only loss came at home to the Miami Dolphins.
If the Seahawks are wanting to leave with a win, they have to be fully prepared.
Russell Wilson will have to be himself, calm under pressure and precise. Facing the looks of Cory Redding, Aubrayo Franklin, and Fifi Moala, Wilson will have to make quick reads.
The Colts defense is allowing 200 yards passing a game. Golden Tate, Doug Baldwin, and Sidney Rice all need to create separation and get open. Greg Toler, Vontae Davis, Antoine Bethea, and Sergio Brown all will be keeping close tabs on them.
Marshawn Lynch needs another big game. Colts’ defense is allowing 100 yards rushing a game. Lynch needs to get all of that himself to wear them down. The offense cannot go three and out repeatedly and expect to win.
Richard Sherman and the rest of the Legion of Boom need to pressure Reggie Wayne, Darrius Heyward-Bey, and Dwayne Allen. The defense has to put a stop to the offensive power that the Colts possess. Sherman, Chancellor, and Thomas all have two picks each, and need to nab atleast two more. Maybe Brandon Browner will get two this week to catch up with the rest of the LOB. The Seahawks have held opposing offenses to 300.2 yards a game, and this game needs to be less. If Andrew Luck gets on a streak like Matt Schaub did last game it will put more pressure on the offense to put up more points. The defense gets Bruce Irvin back this week, after serving a 4 game suspension for PED use. Irvin may be a little rusty because of the loss in action.
Although the injury report is rather vague at this point, both teams have a few key players either questionable or probable for Sunday. Injuries at certain positions can debilitate a team if they don’t have capable backup.
Breno Giacomini is questionable, and Russell Okung is out, that leaves Seattle with two backup tackles. Max Under(center) is also listed as questionable at this point. Without those three key players, Seattle is missing 3 offensive linemen for the second game in a row.
Colts’ Ahmed Bradshaw and LaRon Landry are both listed as questionable for this game as well.
While the focus is on these two sophomore quarterbacks and how exactly they will perform, there will be a game going on. Russell Wilson, and Andrew Luck cannot be on the field 100% of the plays.
This war between two teams should be brutal, both teams want to extend their winning records. Neither team is going to just roll over and allow the other to steamroll to a win. When the game clock rolls down to 0, the winning quarterback will be crowned like the rest of the game didn’t matter. The Seahawks went into Houston, and played a great team, now they have to go into Indianapolis and face a better team. Indianapolis faced a good defense when they faced the 49ers, but they haven’t faced the caliber that the Seahawks possess.
Where does Bruce fit?
Well Bruce Irvin definitely fits on the teams 53 man roster, that is for sure.
For now the Seahawks have a one week roster exemption to get Irvin into playing shape. Pete Carroll and the coaching staff will evaluate him this week in practice to see if Bruce is ready to play.
If he is, which I fully expect, they will need to start thinking about who they are going to release.
I suspect that player will be Benson Mayowa. After breaking out in the preseason Mayowa has been quiet during the regular season. Benson’s most notable play came in week 1 when he missed a tackle on Cam Newton that would have been a sack.
The most telling sign might be that Mayowa was inactive during the Seahawks matchup against the Texans on Sunday.
Truth be told, Seattle has a plethora of defensive ends who can rush the passer. All of which are more capable and better players than Mayowa at this point in their careers. That doesn’t mean I want this to be the end of Mayowa in Seattle.
Seahawks 4-0 for 1st time
After the game I was having a conversation about dramatic victories the Seahawks have had in the recent years. I threw out the fact that the Bears game was the turning point of last season. It was also Russell Wilson‘s coming out party as he grew from the Seahawks starting quarterback to a household name.
Because of those reasons I said it was the most dramatic.
After the conversation though I might have to lean towards this game being a more important come from behind victory.
Yes, that was a great moment for Wilson and the 2012 Seattle Seahawks but Sunday’s victory over the Texans was as historical as it was dramatic. Of course we don’t know what the season will bring but it has been a great start!
We are not talking about historical as far as the NFL is concerned, however, it sure was historical for the franchise. For the first time in 38 seasons the Seahawks are 4-0.
It won’t be an easy task to be 5-0 after next week but for now we can bask in the victory that was.
I have to admit I did not expect the game to go into overtime, especially how lop-sided it looked as far into the game as halfway through the third quarter. I did however expect a close game with a spectacular finish.
In my “Seahawks blueprints to victory” piece I wrote:
I look for a close game where the Seahawks are trailing until late in the 4th quarter. That is when Russell Wilson leads the team down the field and scores the game winning touchdown with less than six minutes left on the clock. Seattle win 24-21
Because of that I felt pretty confident going into the second half despite trailing by 17 points.
Huge impact play by Smith forcing the Tate fumble.
Seahawks go for 4-0
Game in and game out the Seattle Seahawks‘ biggest obstacle will be themselves. I don’t know what it is about this team, whether it’s over-confidence or Pete Carroll’s preaching about not being able to lose a game in the 1st quarter, but they always start slow.
No matter the cause, Sunday the habitual slow start will be compounded by a 10:00 AM Pacific start time.
Somehow, Seattle must find a way to weather the early storm while keeping Houston close going into the second half of the game.
To accomplish this, the Seahawks must find a way to slow down the Texans’ passing attack. Andre Johnson and DeAndre Hopkins are ranked 17th and 20th respectively in receiving yards. The Houston wide-out duo is averaging nearly 10 first downs per game; however, that could all change Sunday when they face the league’s best secondary, the Legion of Boom.
Andre Johnson returned to practice on Thursday after missing time in last week’s game when a cornerback’s knee landed on his shin.
Even if Andre is at 100 percent Richard Sherman is more than capable of matching up against the large, physical receiver.
The Seahawks must lock down Andre Johnson on Saturday.
To be honest. . . More
A defensive battle
Written by: Carl Hoglin
This Sunday, the 3-0 Seattle Seahawks roll into Houston to battle the 2-1 Texans.
Two unrelenting defenses taking it out on opposing offenses, which one will stand the beating? Which team has enough depth to outlast the struggle that will ensue on Sunday? Will Seattle remain undefeated, or will Houston add another notch to the win column?
Houston and Seattle have only played twice after the Oilers left and the Texans were formed. Each team has managed to best the other on their home fields respectively. Seattle trounced Houston 42-10 in a 2005 meeting between the teams. Houston bludgeoned Seattle 34-7 in the latest meeting in 2009.
The last meeting in 2009 featured some of the key players that Houston has managed to build a team around. The only players still playing for the Seahawks since then are: Brandon Mebane, Max Unger, Red Bryant, and Jon Ryan.
This will be a huge struggle between two powerhouse defenses. In three games for both defenses, Seattle ranks first in yards per game, while Houston ranks second. The Seahawks have managed to only surrender 27 total points on defense, while 17 of those came while the second team was on the field versus Jacksonville. Seattle gave up 7 points to Carolina, and 3 points to San Francisco.
Houston has given up 82 points. 28 to San Diego, 24 to Tennessee, and 30 to Baltimore.
Seattle is allowing only 146.7 passing yards per game (1st), while Houston is allowing 157.7 (2nd). Houston is averaging only 91.3 rushing yards on defense (9th), whereas Seattle is allowing 95 (12th). Both Seattle and Houston have managed to pile up 8 sacks already this season. Seattle has managed to pick off opposing QB’s 5 different times, while Houston has only managed 1 pick so far this season.
Both Seattle and Houston will have problems moving the ball against these stout defenses.
Leading their respective offenses, Russell Wilson, and Matt Schaub will have to both be on their games in order to succeed. Wilson is 47/73 for 664 yards with 6 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Schaub is 85/128 for 838 yards with 6 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. Both teams have amazing backs in Marshawn Lynch and Arian Foster. Lynch has rumbled 210 yards on 62 carries, and Foster has steamrolled 190 yards on 49 carries.
Seattle is managing 28.7 points per game putting up an average of 379 yards per game (247 passing, 132 rushing). Houston is averaging 388 yards per game(259 passing, 128 rushing).
Both teams have outstanding receivers, the Texans in Andre Johnson and DeAndre Hopkins, while the Seahawks have Sidney Rice and Golden Tate.
Any one of these players, on any given Sunday, can make or break a game.
Gary Kubiak and Pete Carroll have built highly respectable teams.
- Time managing Quarterbacks with powerhouses at Running Back.
- Big sure-handed receivers that can fly down the field.
- Complete total offenses that can light up any defense not full in tune.
- Strong, unrelenting defenses that can play lights out against any offense, any given game.
Either side of the ball for either team can take control and tilt the tables for their respected team. This game will boil down to who was better on the field, who wins each battle will win the final battle.
Are Houston’s receivers bigger than Seattle’s cornerbacks? Can Seattle’s defensive line hold Arian Foster? Can Russell Wilson escape JJ Watt and his teammates on the defense?