The day after my arrival
Mother Nature sure is making things easy for me today! We have two disturbances moving through the area, one Friday night through Saturday morning (early morning) and one Saturday evening through Sunday morning. Both systems are bringing in heavy rain and moderate to heavy winds for all day Saturday.
As far as the game is concern… remember when the Seahawks traveled to Carolina (I believe 2008?) and the game was a low scoring affair because neither kicker could kick into the wind? I believe we will have a repeat of that tomorrow! Your gameday weather will be almost exactly what you see when you venture on out and head toward the game: wind, wind and more wind with periods of heavy rain. Temps will also be dropping by the time the game starts. Right now at time of post (Friday night at 11pm), temps were in the upper 40’s to lower 50’s for most of Western Washington. Game time high expected to be around 45-47 degrees. As always, I’ll update this post with some “nowcasting” before the game starts and during the game if something big happens.
So dress warm, wear those loud shoes and loud gloves and be ready to shout louder than the howl of the wind! #GoHawks
The End is Near!
… and that is all we need to know! Seahawks will END the Rams year with a win, 2014 is near meaning 2013 comes to an end, Seahawks will win a NFC first place seed and end everyone else’s day when they realize they have to come to CLink through out the playoffs… yes indeed… the end is near!
But the fog is not! Today we will see fog turning to overcast with temps hovering between 40-44 degrees with no sun in sight… nor is there any precip in sight. Not that we care, the Seahawks will win in any type of weather and we will show up no matter what is forecasted!
So, dress warm (unless you carry around 2-5 cans of body paint… ahem 12th Hulk) and be ready to be as loud as the 12thman can be! See you in 2014!
NFC West AND NFC Champs?
Perhaps! Both can happen today with a win by Seattle! But first, they must battle the elements that we typically see in Seattle: WET. We will not see much in the way of heavy rain, or even light rain. In fact, we are looking clear of any moisture up in the atmosphere for the game. However, we will probably see moisture in the form of mist which will not show up on live radar. With that said, there is a system heading our way and showers are just now showing up south of Vancouver Island; I believe Seattle will be in the rain shadow of the Olympic Mountains.
Temps for the game will be slightly warmer than what we are normally accustomed to I expect to see around 49 degrees with temps already at 47 degrees at time of this post (8am Sunday). Winds will be from the south southwest but will be light: expect to see about 5-10mph winds.
So, dress for a win, stay warm and dry and enjoy the game!
Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays!
Monday Night Football in Seattle!
Are you all ready for some football? Monday night football in the Great Pacific Northwest?! I am! Next question, if you are heading to the game, are you layering up? You might want to consider it as temperatures will be around 30 degrees at some point during the game. Vague? Kinda. The problem is, the arctic cold air is taking its sweet time filtering into our area, and with that, temps are staying at their high of 43 degrees; most likely stay there for the start of the game. However, (comma dramatic pause) the wind direction just north of the border, where the Fraser Valley Outflow is located, are now coming from the NNE; a strong indication that that arctic air mass is now starting to filter into the area. How fast or slow is the million dollar question. I am holding onto the thought that temps will drop fairly dramatically as that arctic air filters into the Seattle area, thus the 30 degree prediction.
What about snow? Doubtful! However, (comma dramatic pause) there certainly are scattered showers around the Puget Sound area… and it is not out of the realm of possibilities to have one of these scattered showers travel over Seattle and Clink. If that happens, we COULD see 0.5 to 2 inches depending on how heavy the showers are.
This is a fairly vague forecast, and for that I do apologize, but there is a lot of uncertainty with the forecast, even from now (3pm) to end of the game. A lot of ‘nowcasting’ will be in order so please check back.
Meanwhile, GO HAWKS!
Greatest Seahawks team
By Carl Hoglin
The 2013 Seahawks team has managed a franchise best record at 9-1, but are they the best Seahawks team?
The Seahawks have been to one Super Bowl, and they are the only team in the NFL to attend both the AFC and NFC Championship games.
Lately the question has been that, “Are we witnessing the greatest Seahawks team?”
Statistically we can compare two different teams and make our own judgement. But let’s throw a little wrench into this, and compare three different teams.
As mentioned before, the Seahawks are the only team to have attended both AFC and NFC championship games. The 2005 Seahawks as we all know went to the Super Bowl. The 1983 Seahawks team managed to get to the AFC Championship game. Therefore both of these teams are viable in contrast as the Greatest Seahawks team. Comparing these three teams should be a lot of fun! All of these stats will be compared through the first ten games of the season regardless of the bye week. The 1983 team didn’t have a bye week, and the 2005 Seahawks had their bye week in week 8. The current team the bye week is week 12.
2013 2005 1983
Total Record 9-1 8-2 6-4
(Home Wins) 4-0 5-0 3-2
(Away Wins) 5-1 3-2 3-2
Points For 265 272 246
Points Against 159 187 225
Total Offense 3,620 3,892 3,071
Total Defense 2,890 3,158 3,744
Total Sacks 30 34 27
Interceptions 13 9 20
Surprised at how close they are? It’s actually very interesting data.
There really isn’t a clear cut greatest team off these statistics. Three different teams, three different coaches, not a single player that played on two of these teams. We can delve deeper into the depths of these statistics and get a little bit more personal. If all of these stats are fairly close, we can break down a few key positions to see if there is any big difference.
- Russell Wilson 163/257(63%) 2,132 yards 17 TD 6 INT
- Matt Hasselbeck 200/316(63%) 2,357 yards 12 TD 7 INT
- Jim Zorn* 103/205(50%) 1,166 yards 7 TD 7 INT
*These comparisons were through the first ten games of the season. However Jim Zorn only started 8 games in the 1983 season.
- Marshawn Lynch 191 carries 871 yards 7 TD
- Shaun Alexander 232 carries 1229 yards 19 TD
- Curt Warner 198 carries 889 yards 8 TD
- Golden Tate 41 catches 574 yards 4 TD
- Joe Jurevicius** 36 catches 421 yards 5 TD
- Steve Largent 38 catches 547 yards 6 TD
** Jurevicius was chosen because Darrell Jackson only played 6 games that year and didn’t meet the minimum requirement of 10 games.
While the argument can be made that the current team we are watching is the greatest Seahawks team ever,
the stats are really similar to the other two great Seahawks teams. Each team has its strengths and weaknesses. Chuck Knox, Mike Holmgren, and Pete Carroll all have run unique football teams that had great players in key positions.
Maybe it is too early to compare these three great teams to decide which one is the greatest.
At the end of the season we can again look at these stats and re-visit the argument as to which Seahawks team should be crowned the greatest Seahawks team?
It is starting to look like…
A typical Western Washington fall!
Today we will see showers off and on with a game time high near 50 degrees; it is already 47°. At time of post, a weak system ushered in moisture from the south southwest direction. This left the southern part of Seattle on the border between rain and the rain shadow. Those coming from Everett will see dry conditions.
As mentioned, the disturbance is moving over Western Washington now and will leave pockets of rain showers for the game. It is windy; we saw a guest of 22mph in Seattle but I don’t think it will effect the game much given the SSW direction and the fact the wind should die down after the front passes by. Emphasis placed on should as model runs indicate that to be true.
For this curious and have not heard yet, a major “Pineapple Express” style storm is heading our way for Monday through Tuesday. It appears to be a 24 hour event of nothing but rain. We are looking at 0.5 inches of rain being the minimum and possible 1.50 inches of rain being the maximum. Good news is, we look fairly dry ice that storm passes by possible through the weekend!
My fearless predictions:
Seahawks 31 Vikings 10
Rain Rain Go Away
So… the Seahawks DO play in Seattle after all! It seems like so long ago when the Seahawks played at home… likewise It has been awhile since the Seahawks had to play in adverse rainy weather. Back in September 13th the Seahawks played at home against the 49ers during a stormy, lightning and thunder, night. A week later, they played Jacksonville that saw 20mph sustained winds but the rain quickly gave way to sunshine. October 13th, the Seahawks played at home against the Titans in nearly perfect football weather. Tomorrow, the ‘bucs come to town and will see nothing like the two stormy games, but will not see perfect weather either.
The weather models differ a bit when it comes to pinpointing the rain so I will leave a chance of rain for the game, although, I think it will be dry; the greatest chance of rain will be in the morning and pre-game. The winds will be light and a non-factor. Cloud cover will diminish as the night goes on… in fact; I believe we will see the sun tomorrow for the most part… so call it partly sunny. Temps will be on the chilly side; looking at a game time temp of about 45 degrees.
All in all the field should be drained and the ball should stay dry! Go Hawks #LOB (Lets be great).
Near perfect football weather!
Marine layer clouds SHOULD burn off by the time the game starts; I would be highly surprised if they did not. With that said, it should be a non-factor as the sun will be already past its peak and heading off towards the west. Temps will hold steady at about 53 degrees… but keep in mind, any sun break and the temps will jump about 10 degrees — look for a high of 61 degrees.
Looking ahead, we are heading into an extended dry period that will last through early next week; rarity for a Seattle October.
Enjoy the game! Seahawks 28 Titans 12
#lbg (lets be great)
And keys to the game
By Carl Hoglin
The Seattle Seahawks travel east to face the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday in a matchup between two sophomore Quarterbacks. Russell Wilson and Andrew Luck have both made huge strides for their respectable teams and will continue to do so after Sundays game.
This will be the first matchup between the two since they came into the league last year in different rounds. Andrew Luck was taken #1 overall by the Colts last year, where Russell Wilson was taken #75 overall.
Nevertheless, a football game isn’t decided by what rounds their Quarterbacks are taken.
Both teams have had a great September start, with the Seahawks going 4-0, and the Colts sitting at 3-1. These two teams have played against each other 10 times before, with Sundays matchup being number 11. Seattle has won the matchup between these two teams only 4 times.
The last time these two teams met was in 2009, well before both Quarterbacks were drafted. Since 2009, both of these teams have vastly changed. Seneca Wallace and Peyton Manning are no longer running the shows.
Both Offenses are strikingly similar in stats. Russell Wilson is 59/96(61.5%) for 787 yards with 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Andrew Luck is 81/127(63.8%) for 915 yards with 5 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Wilson has been sacked 13 times for a loss of 84 yards. Luck has been sacked 10 times for a loss of 59 yards.
The Seahawks have managed to total up 1409 offensive yards(577 rushing, 832 passing). The Colts have put up 1495 total yards(601 rushing, 894 passing). Both teams have put up 12 touchdowns. Seattle is managing 27.2 points a game, good enough for 6th in the league. Indianapolis is pushing 26.2 which puts them at 9th in the league.
Defense has been a focal point for both of these teams. Seattle is only allowing 11.8 points per game(2nd), while Indianapolis is allowing 12.8(9th). Seattle boasts the Legion of Boom, which has accounted for 6 of the teams 7 interceptions. Indianapolis has managed to intercept opposing Quarterbacks 6 different times themselves. Indianapolis has registered 13 different sacks, Seattle has only put up 11. Indianapolis has forced three different fumbles, whereas Seattle has managed to force 6.
These two teams have played two of the same teams. We can use them as a slight comparison.
Both teams have played San Francisco and Jacksonville.
The Seahawks trounced the 49ers(in Seattle) 29-3, while the Colts went to Candlestick and dismantled the 49ers 27-7. The Seahawks also bludgeoned the Jaguars(in Seattle) 45-17, whereas the Colts went into EverBank Field and took care of the Jaguars 37-3. In the two weeks the Seahawks outscored the two 74-20, while the Colts outscored the two by 64-10.
Going into Lucas Oil Stadium with a unbeaten record, Seattle has to be on their game. Indianapolis’ only loss came at home to the Miami Dolphins.
If the Seahawks are wanting to leave with a win, they have to be fully prepared.
Russell Wilson will have to be himself, calm under pressure and precise. Facing the looks of Cory Redding, Aubrayo Franklin, and Fifi Moala, Wilson will have to make quick reads.
The Colts defense is allowing 200 yards passing a game. Golden Tate, Doug Baldwin, and Sidney Rice all need to create separation and get open. Greg Toler, Vontae Davis, Antoine Bethea, and Sergio Brown all will be keeping close tabs on them.
Marshawn Lynch needs another big game. Colts’ defense is allowing 100 yards rushing a game. Lynch needs to get all of that himself to wear them down. The offense cannot go three and out repeatedly and expect to win.
Richard Sherman and the rest of the Legion of Boom need to pressure Reggie Wayne, Darrius Heyward-Bey, and Dwayne Allen. The defense has to put a stop to the offensive power that the Colts possess. Sherman, Chancellor, and Thomas all have two picks each, and need to nab atleast two more. Maybe Brandon Browner will get two this week to catch up with the rest of the LOB. The Seahawks have held opposing offenses to 300.2 yards a game, and this game needs to be less. If Andrew Luck gets on a streak like Matt Schaub did last game it will put more pressure on the offense to put up more points. The defense gets Bruce Irvin back this week, after serving a 4 game suspension for PED use. Irvin may be a little rusty because of the loss in action.
Although the injury report is rather vague at this point, both teams have a few key players either questionable or probable for Sunday. Injuries at certain positions can debilitate a team if they don’t have capable backup.
Breno Giacomini is questionable, and Russell Okung is out, that leaves Seattle with two backup tackles. Max Under(center) is also listed as questionable at this point. Without those three key players, Seattle is missing 3 offensive linemen for the second game in a row.
Colts’ Ahmed Bradshaw and LaRon Landry are both listed as questionable for this game as well.
While the focus is on these two sophomore quarterbacks and how exactly they will perform, there will be a game going on. Russell Wilson, and Andrew Luck cannot be on the field 100% of the plays.
This war between two teams should be brutal, both teams want to extend their winning records. Neither team is going to just roll over and allow the other to steamroll to a win. When the game clock rolls down to 0, the winning quarterback will be crowned like the rest of the game didn’t matter. The Seahawks went into Houston, and played a great team, now they have to go into Indianapolis and face a better team. Indianapolis faced a good defense when they faced the 49ers, but they haven’t faced the caliber that the Seahawks possess.